Isikhathi eside, izinga lokushintshana le RMB uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika liye labonakala kakhulu.Izici eziyinhloko zokushayela ukwazisa kwe-RMB ukukhululwa kwezimali kwe-Fed, ukwehla kwenani le-RMB.idola laseMelika,ukuthuthukiswa komnotho waseShayina, ukwanda kwensalela yohwebo, ukusabalala okukhulu kwamabhondi e-Sino-US, kanye nokungena okukhulu kwezimali eChina.Phakathi kwazo zonke lezi zici, ukwehla kwedola kuyisici esibaluleke kakhulu esiqondile.Uma sibheke phambili enkambweni yedola kulo nyaka, ukubukela phansi ubungozi babatshalizimali kuzoncipha ngaphansi kokulindela ukusimama komnotho womhlaba.Kuhlanganiswe nezinga lenzalo eliphansi elivela ku-Federal Reserve kanye nokuwohloka okuqhubekayo ekusetshenzisweni kwezimali kulandela ukugqugquzelwa kwezimali okungakaze kubonwe kukahulumeni wase-US, idola libonakala kabanzi njengelingase libe buthakathaka nakakhulu, kanti abanye babona ukwehla ngo-5% kuya ku-10% ngo-2021. Ngenxa yalokho. Kulezi zici ezingenhla ziyaqhubeka nokuba khona, izinga lokushintshisana le-RMB lesikhathi esizayo uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika lizoqhubeka lifinyelele emananini amancane angenayo.
Ngaphandle kwezinye izici, kungaba namuphi umthelela ukwazisa nje kwe-renminbi uma kuqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika emakethe yensimbi yaseChina?Ukuhlaziywa kokuqala kuhlanganisa izici eziyisithupha ezilandelayo:
1. Khuthaza ukuthengwa kwamanye amazwe futhi ungakhuthazi ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe.I-renminbi eqinile uma iqhathaniswa nedola izokwehlisa izindleko zokuthengwa kwamanye amazwe futhi inyuse izindleko zokuthekelisa.Ngenxa yalokho, ibophezelekile ukukhiqiza insimbi yensimbi, insimbi engasahliwe, i-billet, insimbi nezinye izakhi zensimbi zokungenisa imali, futhi ivimbele ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwemikhiqizo yokusetshenziswa kwensimbi nensimbi.Kusukela ngonyaka odlule, uchungechunge lwensimbi nolumnyama lwaseShayina lwesimo sokungeniswa nokuthekelisa kwempahla selubonakale ngokwengxenye lolu shintsho.Ngokusho kweGeneral Administration of Customs, iChina yangenisa amathani ensimbi angaphezu kwezigidi ezingama-20 ngo-2020, okukhuphuke ngamaphesenti angaphezu kwama-60 kusukela ngonyaka odlule.Ezinyangeni ezine zokuqala zalo nyaka, ukuthengwa kwensimbi yaseChina kwenyuka ngamaphesenti ayi-17 unyaka nonyaka.Ngomgomo kazwelonke wokulawula okubanzi, waseChinainsimbi nochungechunge olumnyamaisimo sokungenisa kanye nokuthekelisa kwempahla yalezi zinguquko ezingenhla, sizoqiniswa ngenxa yokwazisa izinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB uma liqhathaniswa nedola, kulindeleke ukuthi kulo nyaka ukuthengwa kwensimbi yezwe kufinyelele kumathani ayizigidi ezingama-30, kuqhubeke ukwethula inani elikhulu kakhulu. isimo sokukhula.
2. Cindezela izintengo zensimbi yasekhaya ukuze zikhuphuke ngokushesha futhi ziqine kakhulu.Izakhi zensimbi nezensimbi zokungenisa nokuthumela kwamanye amazwe ziyacindezelwa, esimweni sokunye ukuhlinzeka nesidingo sezici ezingashintshiwe, yebo, kunciphisa ukunikezwa kwemakethe yensimbi yasekhaya kanye nesidingo, futhi kukhiqize okulindelwe okuhambisanayo, ngaleyo ndlela kucindezela amanani ensimbi yasekhaya ngokushesha kakhulu, futhi. ukukhuphuka okuqinile.Ngaphambi kokuba uchungechunge lukazwelonke lwensimbi nolumnyama lwezintengo zempahla lwehle kakhulu, i-renminbi ngokumelene nokwazisa kwezinga lokushintshaniswa kwedola nakho kuyingcindezi.
3. Kuyazuzisa "i-carbon peak" kanye "ne-carbon neutral".Emuva kokubongwa kwemali yakuleli ukuze kugqugquzelwe ukuthengwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kanye nokuvimbela ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe, ukuhlinzekwa kwezidingongqangi zangaphakathi kanye nesidingo ngosizo lwemigudu yemakethe yamazwe ngamazwe ukuze kwenziwe ngcono, nakanjani kuzonciphisa ingcindezi emabhizinisini asekhaya ensimbi ukuze andise umkhiqizo.Ukwehla okuhambisanayo kokukhula komkhiqizo wamabhizinisi asekhaya ensimbi kanye nezimayini kuzophinde kunciphise ukukhishwa kwekhabhoni, ngaleyo ndlela kusize iminyango ethatha izinqumo ukuthi ifinyelele izinjongo zamasu “zesiqongo sekhabhoni” kanye “ne-carbon neutral”.
4. Ukwandisa inzuzo yamabhizinisi asekhaya ensimbi.Ukubalwa kwezinga lokushintshisana kwe-RMB uma kuqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika kwehlise izindleko zokungeniswa kwamanye amazwe zensimbi, insimbi engasasebenzi, amalahle okukha amalahle, uwoyela negesi, ibhilidi nokunye.Ngesikhathi esifanayo, izintengo zensimbi zihlala ziphakeme kakhulu, okuzokwenza amabhizinisi ensimbi azuze ukwanda kwenzuzo eyengeziwe.
5. I-A-share steel plate eyintandokazi.Amabhizinisi asekhaya ensimbi nensimbi ukuze azuze inzuzo engaphezu kokukhula okulindelekile, ukwakheka kwemvelo kwesisekelo esiqinile sezinzuzo eziphezulu.Futhi ukwanda kwesivuno se-dividend, kanye nokuthambekela kuhle, futhi kuzoheha izimali zomphakathi ezifunwayo, kuhlanganise nenyakatho yenhloko-dolobha, okuyinto enhle ku-A-share steel plate.
6. Ukwandisa igebe phakathi kwezintengo zensimbi zasekhaya nezangaphandle.Njengamanje, i-Internationalinsimbiimakethe iqinile futhi intengo yemakethe yensimbi yamazwe ngamazwe iphezulu kakhulu kunezinga lasekhaya.Ukwazisa kwe-yuan uma kuqhathaniswa nedola, okugqugquzela ukuthengwa kwensimbi kwamanye amazwe futhi kunqande ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle, kuzokhulisa igebe elikhona kakade phakathi kwamanani entengo yensimbi yasekhaya neyangaphandle.
Umthombo: Chen Kexin, umhlaziyi omkhulu eLange Iron & Steel Economic Research Center
Ukuhumusha kwesofthiwe yokuhumusha, uma kukhona iphutha sicela uxolele.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: 03-06-21