1.Uhlolojikelele lwemakethe: NgoMeyi 26, izinga lokushintshanisa indawo le-USD uma liqhathaniswa ne-RMB lehla ngaphansi kwenani eliyindilinga lika-6.40, okwenziwayo okuphansi kube ngu-6.3871.Ukwazisa kwe-RMB ngokumelene ne-USD kukhuphuke kakhulu kusukela kwaba nengxabano yohwebo phakathi kwe-China ne-US ngasekuqaleni kukaMeyi 2018.
2. Izizathu ezibalulekile: Izizathu eziyinhloko zokungena kabusha kwe-RMB ethrekhi yokubonga kusukela ngo-April zivela ezicini ezilandelayo, ezibonisa ubudlelwano bokudlulisa obuhamba kancane nobunengqondo:
(1) Izisekelo ze-RMB enamandla azikashintshi ngokuyinhloko: ukwanda kokungena kwe-investimenti kanye nediphozithi yedola laseMelika okubangelwa ukuhluka kwesilinganiso senzalo samazwe angaphandle kanye nokuvuleka kwezimali, imali enqwabelene edalwe umphumela wokushintshaniswa kwamanye amazwe, kanye nokunciphisa okuphawulekayo izingxabano zeSino-US;
(2) I-dollar yangaphandle iyaqhubeka nokuba buthakathaka: kusukela ekuqaleni kuka-Ephreli, inkomba ye-dollar yehle ngo-3.8% ukusuka ku-93.23 kuya ku-89.70 ngenxa ye-pre-reflation kanye nokupholisa kwetimu yezinga lenzalo yesikhathi eside.Ngaphansi kwendlela yamanje ye-central parity, i-RMB izuze cishe ngo-2.7% uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika.
(3) Ukunikezwa kanye nesidingo sokukhokhwa nokudayiswa ngokushintshisana ngemali yangaphandle kuvame ukulingana: imali enqwabelene yokukhokha nokudayiswa ngemali yangaphandle ngo-April yehliswe yaba amaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-2.2, kanye nensalela yokuphuma kokuphuma kwenkontileka nayo yehla kakhulu uma iqhathaniswa neyangaphambilini. isikhathi.Njengoba imakethe ingena enkathini yokuthengwa kwezabelo zezabelo kanye nokuthengwa kwemali yangaphandle, ukuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo sekukonke kuvame ukulingana, okwenza izinga lokushintshisana le-RMB lizwele kakhulu enanini ledola laseMelika kanye nokulindelwe kancane kwemakethe kulesi sigaba.
(4) Ukuxhumana phakathi kwe-USD, i-RMB ne-USD index kuye kwanda kakhulu, kodwa ukuguquguquka kuye kwehle kakhulu: ukuhlobana okuhle phakathi kwe-USD ne-USD index yi-0.96 kusukela ngo-Ephreli kuya kuMeyi, ephakeme kakhulu kune-0.27 ngoJanuwari.Khonamanjalo, ukuntengantenga okubonakalayo kwezinga lokushintshisana kwe-RMB ogwini ngoJanuwari cishe ku-4.28% (ukulinganisa kwezinsuku ezingu-30), futhi kungu-2.67% kuphela kusukela ngo-April 1. Lesi simo sibonisa ukuthi imakethe ilandela kancane uhlobo lwedola laseMelika, futhi. ukulindela kwepuleti lekhasimende kancane kancane kuya kuzinza, ukukhokhelwa okuphezulu kwemali yangaphandle, ukuthengwa okuphansi kokuhwebelana kwamanye amazwe, ukunciphisa ukuguquguquka kwemakethe;
(5) Kulo mongo, ukwehla kwakamuva kwe-0.7% ngesonto lapho idola laseMelika liphuka ngama-90, idiphozithi yemali yangaphandle yasekhaya yephula i-yuan eyi-trillion, inhloko-dolobha esenyakatho yenyuka ngamashumi ezigidigidi zama-yuan, nokulindela ukwazisa kwe-RMB kwavela futhi. .Emakethe elinganiselayo, i-RMB yenyuka ngokushesha ngaphezu kwe-6.4.
3. Isigaba Esilandelayo: Kuze kube ukuphinda kwedola okubalulekile, sikholwa ukuthi inqubo yamanje yokubonga izoqhubeka.Uma lokho okulindelwe ngamakhasimende kungacacile futhi kubuswa imizwelo yawo kanye nezinzuzo nokulahlekelwa kokubalwa kwezimali kwenkampani, avame ukwethula inkambiso efana nokuxazululwa ngendlela engafanele kokushintshisana nokwazisa ngendlela engafanele ngoJanuwari walo nyaka.Njengamanje, ayikho imakethe ezimele esobala ye-RMB, futhi ngaphansi kwengcindezi eqhubekayo yedola laseMelika, ukulindela ukwazisa kucace kakhudlwana.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: 27-05-21